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Trump-Musk Feud Sparks Market Turmoil: Is This the End of the Bull Run?

by changzheng35

The public feud between former President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk has sent shockwaves through Wall Street, with Tesla shares plunging 14.26% in a single day – their worst drop in four years. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.83% while the S&P 500 declined 0.53% as investors grew wary of the political uncertainty.

The “Big and Beautiful” Act: Center of the Controversy

The recently passed House bill proposes sweeping changes to tax and spending policies:

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  • Making permanent the 2017 tax cuts set to expire in 2026
  • Expanding child tax credits and retirement benefits
  • Cutting $600B from Medicaid and $260B from food assistance programs
  • Introducing new taxes on remittances and immigration services
  • Eliminating EV subsidies while imposing new fees

Trump’s Defense vs Musk’s Criticism

Trump hailed the legislation as key to economic revival, while Musk called it “despicable,” warning it would:

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  • Add $2.5 trillion to the deficit
  • Undermine government efficiency efforts
  • Create long-term fiscal instability

Broader Market Concerns Beyond the Feud

Economists highlight deeper structural issues:

Debt Crisis Looms

With $36.22 trillion national debt (124.1% of GDP), interest payments may consume 40% of tax revenues by 2033. Moody’s warns of potential downgrade risks.

Twin Deficits Spiral

The 6.95% fiscal deficit could worsen as trade imbalances persist, creating economic vulnerabilities.

Manufacturing Challenges

Critical supply chain dependencies – 90% in semiconductors, 70% in rare earths – threaten production stability.

Market Outlook: Storm Clouds or Silver Linings?

While Tesla faces particular risks from political backlash (82% of Democratic supporters reportedly boycotting the brand), the broader market shows resilience:

  • US debt-to-GDP remains below many developed nations
  • Core inflation shows signs of easing
  • Dollar maintains 42% global payment share
  • Tech sector continues attracting investment

Potential Scenarios Ahead

If stagflation emerges, significant corrections may occur. However, any economic slowdown could prompt Fed easing, potentially reigniting the AI-driven tech rally that’s already delivered 20% returns for some investors since recent lows.

The Trump-Musk clash reflects deeper tensions between business and government, creating short-term volatility but unlikely to derail America’s innovation-driven market fundamentals in the long run.

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