Customs Data Shows Resilient Export Performance Amid Global Economic Challenges
The General Administration of Customs released data on June 9 revealing China’s goods trade maintained steady growth during the January-May period, with total import and export value reaching 17.94 trillion yuan ($2.53 trillion), marking a 2.5% year-on-year increase. The May figures showed particular strength, with monthly trade volume hitting 3.81 trillion yuan, up 2.7% from the same period last year.
Export Momentum Accelerates in Key Markets
China’s export sector demonstrated remarkable resilience, with May exports alone growing 6.3% to 2.28 trillion yuan. The breakdown reveals impressive growth across multiple regions:
- ASEAN countries: 16.9% increase
- European Union: 13.7% rise
- African nations: 35.3% surge
- Five Central Asian countries: 8.8% growth
This performance comes amid sustained economic recovery and increasing external pressures, achieving stable growth despite May having two fewer working days compared to 2023.
Africa Trade Reaches Historic Highs
The first five months witnessed record-breaking trade volumes with African nations, totaling 963.21 billion yuan (12.4% growth) and accounting for 5.4% of China’s total trade. Export figures to Africa jumped 20.2% to 599.57 billion yuan, while imports grew modestly by 1.6% to 363.64 billion yuan.
Foreign-Invested Enterprises Show Steady Growth
Foreign enterprises in China contributed significantly to trade performance:
- January-May total: 5.21 trillion yuan (2.3% growth)
- May monthly performance: 1.11 trillion yuan (4% increase)
- Number of active foreign trade enterprises: Over 73,000 (5-year high)
These enterprises accounted for 29% of China’s total trade volume and contributed 0.7 percentage points to the overall growth. The consistent monthly growth over four consecutive months underscores China’s position as an attractive and secure investment destination.
Equipment Manufacturing Leads Export Growth
China’s equipment manufacturing sector emerged as the powerhouse of export growth:
- Total exports: 6.22 trillion yuan (9.2% increase)
- Sector contribution: 58.3% of total exports
Key growth areas:
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- Electric vehicles: 19%
- Construction machinery: 10.7%
- Shipbuilding: 18.9%
- Industrial robots: 55.4%
The sector contributed 73% to overall export growth during the period, with May’s contribution reaching 76.9%, demonstrating its crucial role in stabilizing foreign trade.
Central China Outperforms in Regional Development
The central region showed the fastest growth nationwide with 1.5 trillion yuan in trade volume (11.1% increase). Exports surged 16.9% to 1 trillion yuan, while imports grew 1% to 496.55 billion yuan.
Under the Central China Rising Strategy, the six central provinces have actively developed into new hubs for inland reform and opening-up. The region’s growth rate exceeded the national average by 8.6 percentage points, increasing its share of total trade by 0.6 points to 8.3%.
Sustained Growth Amid Global Economic Headwinds
China’s trade performance demonstrates remarkable resilience in the face of global economic uncertainties. Several factors contribute to this stability:
Diversified Trade Partnerships
The data reveals successful diversification of trade relationships beyond traditional Western markets. The substantial growth in ASEAN and African trade indicates successful implementation of the “Belt and Road” initiative and regional cooperation strategies.
Structural Improvements in Trade Composition
The shift toward high-value equipment manufacturing exports reflects China’s successful industrial upgrading. The exceptional growth in high-tech sectors like industrial robots (55.4%) and electric vehicles (19%) demonstrates increasing competitiveness in advanced manufacturing.
Policy Support and Business Confidence
The record number of active foreign trade enterprises (over 73,000) indicates strong business confidence. Government policies supporting foreign investment and trade facilitation appear to be yielding positive results.
Future Outlook and Challenges
While the data shows positive trends, several factors warrant attention:
- The slower growth in imports (1.6% from Africa, 1% in central regions) suggests potential softening in domestic demand
- Global economic slowdown and trade protectionism remain significant challenges
- The need to maintain momentum in high-tech and high-value-added exports
Experts suggest that continued policy support for innovation and trade facilitation, combined with deepening regional economic cooperation, will be crucial for sustaining growth in the second half of 2024.
Conclusion
China’s foreign trade has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the first five months of 2024, with particular strength in equipment manufacturing exports and trade with emerging markets. The 2.5% overall growth, building on previous years’ performance, suggests stable development despite global headwinds. As China continues to implement its high-quality development strategy, the evolving trade patterns reflect both the successes of economic restructuring and the challenges of an uncertain global environment.
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